La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
FIO
11%
23%
66%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
ZIM
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
20%
26%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 2
FOL
16%
21%
62%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 1
VIR
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |