La Fiorita vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 2
TPE
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 3
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |