La Fiorita vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
43%
24%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DOM
4 - 1
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
5 - 2
FAE
45%
23%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
43%
24%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
MUR
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 3
COS
16%
22%
63%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
5 - 2
COS
66%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
4 - 0
COS
59%
21%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |