Fiorentino vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 2
JUV
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 4
VIR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAE
32%
22%
47%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAE
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
10%
20%
71%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COS
4 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |