Fiorentino vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 3
DOM
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 3
FIO
21%
21%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 5
SGI
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAE
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |