Fiorentino vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 1
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
SGI
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 3
JUV
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
TFI
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 3
FOL
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |