Serie A Round 18

Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis

Fiorentina Napoli
86 ELO 89
-0.8% Tilt 12.1%
19º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.1%
Fiorentina
25.9%
Draw
39.9%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.9%
Win probability
Napoli
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-4%
-1%
Napoli

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2016
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
48%
24%
28%
87 87 0 0
15 Dec. 2016
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
33%
25%
43%
87 83 4 0
12 Dec. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
60%
22%
18%
87 82 5 0
08 Dec. 2016
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
16%
20%
64%
87 74 13 0
04 Dec. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
68%
20%
13%
87 77 10 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2016
NAP
Napoli
5 - 3
Torino
TOR
72%
17%
11%
89 85 4 0
11 Dec. 2016
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 5
Napoli
NAP
24%
24%
52%
89 80 9 0
06 Dec. 2016
SLB
Benfica
1 - 2
Napoli
NAP
45%
24%
32%
89 88 1 0
02 Dec. 2016
NAP
Napoli
3 - 0
Inter
INT
63%
20%
17%
89 86 3 0
28 Nov. 2016
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
75%
15%
10%
89 82 7 0