Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 5
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
INT
4 - 2
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ACM
4 - 2
TOR
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |