Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 1
ACM
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 4
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |