Serie A Round 1

Fiorentina vs Inter analysis

Fiorentina Inter
79 ELO 85
9.5% Tilt -12.7%
19º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.1%
Fiorentina
21.6%
Draw
25.3%
Inter

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Fiorentina
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.3%
Win probability
Inter
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-2%
-8%
Inter

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Inter
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1946
FIO
Fiorentina
5 - 0
Siena
SIE
83%
11%
7%
80 67 13 0
24 Mar. 1946
LIV
Livorno
1 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
59%
22%
19%
80 83 3 0
10 Mar. 1946
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
44%
24%
32%
80 78 2 0
03 Mar. 1946
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
30%
25%
45%
80 73 7 0
24 Feb. 1946
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
60%
20%
20%
80 84 4 0

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 1946
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Inter
INT
45%
24%
30%
86 83 3 0
21 Jul. 1946
INT
Inter
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
68%
18%
15%
87 83 4 -1
14 Jul. 1946
INT
Inter
6 - 2
Torino
TOR
42%
24%
34%
86 90 4 +1
07 Jul. 1946
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Inter
INT
38%
25%
37%
86 80 6 0
30 Jun. 1946
INT
Inter
0 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
75%
15%
10%
86 73 13 0