Fiorentina vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
ČUK
0 - 1
FIO
12%
21%
68%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
51%
24%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SDL
1 - 0
GNK
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GNK
3 - 1
LEU
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
FTC
1 - 1
GNK
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 2
GNK
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VIS
0 - 4
GNK
9%
16%
76%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |