Fiorentina vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
SAS
1 - 1
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EMP
3 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACM
16%
23%
62%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |