Fiorentina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 4
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 5
INT
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 2
CAG
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAG
0 - 2
JUV
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |