Serie AB Sub 18 Round 5

Fiorentina U18 vs Lazio U18 analysis

Fiorentina U18 Lazio U18
33 ELO 26
4.9% Tilt -8.2%
8485º General ELO ranking 7104º
323º Country ELO ranking 273º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Fiorentina U18
17%
Draw
15.3%
Lazio U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Fiorentina U18
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.3%
Win probability
Lazio U18
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina U18
+32%
+4%
Lazio U18

Points and table prediction

Fiorentina U18
Their league position
Lazio U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Roma U18
55
55
100%
Sassuolo U18
44
47
100%
Fiorentina U18
42
45
0%
 Bologna U18
45
45
0%
Genoa U18
44
44
100%
Lazio U18
41
44
100%
Empoli U18
40
43
100%
Lecce U18
42
42
100%
Cesena U18
38
41
100%
Napoli U18
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Sampdoria U18
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fiorentina U18
Lazio U18
100% 100%

ELO progression

Fiorentina U18
Lazio U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina U18
Fiorentina U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2022
GEN
Genoa U18
0 - 2
Fiorentina U18
FIO
29%
23%
48%
32 25 7 0
26 Sep. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina U18
2 - 1
Cesena U18
CES
58%
19%
22%
31 28 3 +1
18 Sep. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria U18
1 - 3
Fiorentina U18
FIO
28%
22%
50%
30 22 8 +1
15 May. 2022
FIO
Fiorentina U18
0 - 2
Parma U18
PAR
64%
18%
18%
32 28 4 -2
07 May. 2022
ASC
Ascoli U18
1 - 2
Fiorentina U18
FIO
7%
15%
78%
32 11 21 0

Matches

Lazio U18
Lazio U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
LAZ
Lazio U18
2 - 2
Cesena U18
CES
43%
22%
35%
26 27 1 0
02 Oct. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria U18
0 - 1
Lazio U18
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
26 21 5 0
24 Sep. 2022
LAZ
Lazio U18
3 - 0
Roma U18
ASR
23%
20%
57%
23 32 9 +3
18 Sep. 2022
EMP
Empoli U18
1 - 1
Lazio U18
LAZ
38%
22%
40%
23 21 2 0
15 May. 2022
ATA
Atalanta U18
2 - 3
Lazio U18
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
22 25 3 +1