Finn Harps vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
2 - 1
BRW
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
SLR
0 - 0
FIN
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAL
3 - 2
FIN
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 1
CAO
17%
28%
55%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 1
LON
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
STP
4 - 1
WEX
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 3
CAO
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
STP
0 - 0
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 4
STP
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STP
3 - 2
COB
71%
18%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |