FAI Cup 1/16

Finn Harps vs Crumlin United analysis

Finn Harps Crumlin United
61 ELO 36
-15.9% Tilt -6.1%
3984º General ELO ranking 8239º
20º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
76.1%
Finn Harps
17.2%
Draw
6.7%
Crumlin United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Finn Harps
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
6.7%
Win probability
Crumlin United
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Finn Harps
+10%
-3%
Crumlin United

ELO progression

Finn Harps
Crumlin United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finn Harps
Finn Harps
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2016
STP
St Patrick's
4 - 0
Finn Harps
FIN
63%
22%
15%
62 72 10 0
13 May. 2016
FIN
Finn Harps
0 - 7
Dundalk
DUN
14%
24%
63%
63 78 15 -1
10 May. 2016
DER
Derry City
2 - 2
Finn Harps
FIN
54%
26%
20%
62 70 8 +1
06 May. 2016
FIN
Finn Harps
0 - 0
Bohemian FC
BOH
30%
28%
42%
62 69 7 0
29 Apr. 2016
WEX
Wexford Youths
1 - 1
Finn Harps
FIN
50%
25%
24%
62 62 0 0

Matches

Crumlin United
Crumlin United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2016
CRU
Crumlin United
1 - 0
Greystones United
GRU
81%
12%
7%
34 9 25 0
08 Mar. 2016
CRU
Crumlin United
2 - 3
UC Dublin
UCD
11%
17%
72%
35 58 23 -1
05 Dec. 2015
BAN
Banbridge Town
3 - 3
Crumlin United
CRU
61%
19%
20%
34 38 4 +1
07 Nov. 2015
DOW
Downshire YM
2 - 3
Crumlin United
CRU
11%
17%
72%
34 9 25 0
09 Sep. 2015
STP
St Patrick's
4 - 0
Crumlin United
CRU
88%
9%
3%
34 74 40 0