Finland U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
FIN
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
59%
21%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
FIN
0 - 0
KAZ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 0
FIN
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
AUT
6 - 0
FIN
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
LTU
0 - 0
SCO
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
LTU
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 3
DEN
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
4%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |