European U21 Championship qualifying Group H Round 1

Finlandia U21 vs Rusia U21 analysis

Finlandia U21 Rusia U21
59 ELO 66
-10.7% Tilt 4.8%
3332º General ELO ranking 1560º
21º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Finlandia U21
26%
Draw
41.5%
Rusia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Finlandia U21
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.5%
Win probability
Rusia U21
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Finlandia U21
+39%
+14%
Rusia U21

ELO progression

Finlandia U21
Rusia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finlandia U21
Finlandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 1995
FIN
Finlandia U21
1 - 0
Grecia U21
GRC
38%
27%
35%
59 63 4 0
28 Mar. 1995
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 6
Finlandia U21
FIN
31%
24%
45%
58 38 20 +1
13 Dec. 1994
FIN
Finlandia U21
4 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
70%
17%
13%
58 38 20 0
15 Nov. 1994
GER
Alemania U21
2 - 1
Finlandia U21
FIN
70%
19%
12%
58 71 13 0
11 Oct. 1994
GRC
Grecia U21
3 - 4
Finlandia U21
FIN
63%
21%
16%
57 64 7 +1

Matches

Rusia U21
Rusia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 1995
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 7
Rusia U21
RUS
27%
23%
50%
66 37 29 0
25 Apr. 1995
GRC
Grecia U21
0 - 1
Rusia U21
RUS
46%
25%
29%
66 63 3 0
28 Mar. 1995
RUS
Rusia U21
1 - 2
Escocia U21
SCO
50%
24%
25%
66 66 0 0
15 Nov. 1994
SCO
Escocia U21
2 - 1
Rusia U21
RUS
44%
26%
31%
66 65 1 0
11 Oct. 1994
RUS
Rusia U21
3 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
76%
15%
10%
66 39 27 0