Finland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
3 - 0
FIN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
UKR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
SVN
1 - 1
FIN
51%
23%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
AZE
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 0
UKR
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 4
IRN
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
KAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |