Figueirense vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
3 - 1
FFL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
FFL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 2
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |