Figueirense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
FFL
0 - 0
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FFL
4 - 2
PPE
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
4 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |