Fidelis Andria vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1996 |
PES
5 - 1
FIA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 1
REG
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
FIA
2 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 0
FIA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1996 |
CES
3 - 2
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
CES
2 - 3
BOL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
COS
2 - 2
CES
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CES
3 - 2
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |