FICA vs Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FICA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FIC
4 - 1
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FIC
1 - 0
CAV
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
FIC
34%
30%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FIC
0 - 0
BAL
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
CAV
59%
25%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASM
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIO
2 - 0
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
DON
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
VIC
41%
32%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |