Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
IAA
2 - 6
FHH
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
FHH
0 - 0
AUS
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IBV
1 - 2
FHH
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
FHH
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FHH
1 - 0
THO
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 1
GNK
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GNK
0 - 2
SDL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LEU
1 - 4
GNK
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GNK
3 - 0
OOS
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AND
1 - 0
GNK
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |