FFA COE U21 vs Adelaide United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FFA COE U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FFA
3 - 4
BRI
14%
17%
70%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 2
FFA
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FFA
1 - 4
WES
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FFA
2 - 5
NEW
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
FFA
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
6 - 1
ADE
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 6
MEL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ADE
3 - 3
SYD
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
ADE
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PER
5 - 2
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |