Norden vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DCE
1 - 2
FFN
32%
21%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FFN
2 - 4
ATE
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JEU
4 - 0
FFN
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 1
FEU
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
YBD
1 - 1
FFN
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 1
BER
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
COL
72%
14%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
JUS
4 - 0
WIN
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIN
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
MER
23%
19%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |