Norden vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 5
ERP
34%
22%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 0
FFN
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FFN
2 - 1
JEU
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 0
FFN
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BBM
1 - 0
FFN
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
KAE
1 - 4
UME
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
UME
0 - 1
ETZ
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
UME
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
UME
2 - 5
SWI
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UME
2 - 0
UKT
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |