Norden vs Mamer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KAE
4 - 1
FFN
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FFN
3 - 2
ERP
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FFN
2 - 1
USS
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 0
FFN
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
4 - 1
FFN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Mamer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAM
1 - 0
FCR
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAM
1 - 2
AVE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KAE
0 - 0
MAM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAM
0 - 1
ERP
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 1
MAM
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |