Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
14º
7º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
FFN
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 4
YBD
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
FFN
30%
21%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FFN
1 - 4
GRE
23%
20%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FFN
5 - 1
ERP
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
YBD
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 7
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 0
FEU
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
VIC
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JUS
0 - 4
LOR
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |