Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
FEU
4 - 4
FFN
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FFN
4 - 1
DCE
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FFN
6 - 3
MER
50%
22%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ERP
0 - 0
FFN
21%
19%
60%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FFN
1 - 3
FCA
69%
17%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
ERP
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
HOS
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
JUS
0 - 1
LOR
33%
22%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 2
MLI
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |