Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 4
FFN
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FFN
3 - 0
AVE
41%
24%
34%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FFN
2 - 1
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
FFN
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FFN
2 - 3
VIC
14%
19%
66%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 0
LOR
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
LOR
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
KEH
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GRE
4 - 0
LOR
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |