Norden vs Kehlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
14º
7º
58
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
FFN
9%
14%
76%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 4
FCA
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 5
FFN
7%
13%
80%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FFN
3 - 4
MLI
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 3
FFN
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 1
KEH
12%
17%
71%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
KEH
4 - 1
MLI
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
KEH
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KEH
2 - 0
BER
74%
16%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
KEH
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |