Norden vs Boevange/Attert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
STE
0 - 1
FFN
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JEU
0 - 4
FFN
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FFN
1 - 2
BAS
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ATE
0 - 0
FFN
52%
22%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FFN
1 - 1
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Boevange/Attert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOE
0 - 2
BAS
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
6 - 0
BOE
73%
16%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOE
0 - 1
WIN
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
BOE
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOE
2 - 3
LOR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |