Lillehammer vs Strømsgodset II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
5º
13
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 59 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 56 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 54 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 40 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 28 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 23 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
14º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillehammer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AIF
1 - 2
FFL
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FFL
2 - 0
BJS
51%
20%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FFL
1 - 5
ELV
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 2
FFL
58%
19%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FFL
5 - 3
SKJ
30%
21%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
STR
1 - 3
GJO
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
4 - 2
STR
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
STR
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
STR
2 - 7
LOR
19%
21%
61%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
AIF
4 - 3
STR
21%
18%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |