Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
UTR
3 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
0 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 3
FEY
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
VIT
0 - 2
AZA
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 5
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |