Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
79.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
8º
6º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 2
FER
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FER
4 - 2
UOC
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
1 - 0
FER
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
SUF
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
NSF
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
NSF
72%
14%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 3
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
WNK
87%
8%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
COA
0 - 3
CAS
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
CAS
6 - 0
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |