Ferroviário vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
ICA
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
63%
19%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 1
FER
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
FER
3 - 2
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
HOR
2 - 0
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
UNI
85%
10%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 1
FER
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |