Ferroviário Quelimane vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 5
COS
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
COS
47%
29%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
COS
32%
32%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |