Ferroviário Nacala vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COS
1 - 0
FEN
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
TEX
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BBM
2 - 1
FEN
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 0
FEN
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 0
DMA
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 0
DMA
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HCB
3 - 2
LIC
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
FER
36%
31%
33%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MDM
2 - 0
LIC
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 1
VIL
45%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |