Ferroviário Nacala vs Desportivo Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HCB
1 - 2
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
34%
31%
35%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MDM
0 - 3
FEN
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 0
VIL
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 0
DMA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DMA
1 - 1
HCB
23%
28%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
DMA
60%
25%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DMA
2 - 0
MDM
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DMA
0 - 2
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |