Ferroviária vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
RBB
3 - 2
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FER
0 - 3
RBB
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FER
3 - 0
ECN
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
XVD
1 - 1
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
NOR
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |