Ferroviária vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 2
FER
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 1
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
FER
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FER
5 - 1
VEL
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 1
INT
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
TAB
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 2
TAB
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 4
INT
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |