Ferroviária vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 1
FER
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
NOV
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
FER
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
3 - 2
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 3
SAL
18%
26%
57%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |