Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FER
8 - 0
URT
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
MIR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
FER
3 - 3
SAN
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
REA
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |