Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
FER
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
OES
40%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 3
COR
16%
26%
58%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |