Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria vs Racing Olavarría analysis


33	ELO	32
-18%	Tilt	-13.4%
7080º	General ELO ranking	6553º
154º	Country ELO ranking	145º
ELO win probability

37.3%

Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria

27.5%

Draw

35.2%

Racing Olavarría

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

37.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

8.9%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

27.5%

35.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Jan. 2018	RAO 0 - 1 FER 50% 26% 24%	31	34	3	0
20 Dec. 2017	SDM 2 - 1 FER 72% 16% 12%	31	37	6	0
16 Dec. 2017	FER 0 - 1 SDM 33% 24% 43%	32	36	4	-1
12 Dec. 2017	FER 2 - 2 RAO 40% 24% 36%	33	35	2	-1
03 Dec. 2017	RAO 0 - 0 FER 54% 22% 24%	34	36	2	-1

Matches

Racing Olavarría

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Jan. 2018	RAO 0 - 1 FER 50% 26% 24%	34	31	3	0
12 Dec. 2017	FER 2 - 2 RAO 40% 24% 36%	35	33	2	-1
03 Dec. 2017	RAO 0 - 0 FER 54% 22% 24%	36	34	2	-1
29 Nov. 2017	CDC 0 - 0 RAO 71% 18% 11%	36	46	10	0
26 Nov. 2017	RAO 1 - 0 CDC 19% 24% 57%	34	47	13	+2