Ferro Carril Oeste vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
SLO
0 - 1
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FER
3 - 1
CAU
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
SAR
1 - 3
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
NOB
0 - 0
FER
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
FER
1 - 2
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1981 |
NOB
4 - 2
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
EST
1 - 2
NOB
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
NOB
2 - 2
ARG
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 0
CEN
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1980 |
CEN
3 - 0
NOB
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |