Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PXD
3 - 1
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
SRF
28%
27%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MER
2 - 3
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
CDS
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
UDR
3 - 4
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 3
PBL
14%
22%
65%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PBL
0 - 0
PXD
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PBL
2 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
PBL
0 - 1
HER
7%
17%
75%
|
39 | 87 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CDS
1 - 1
PBL
12%
21%
68%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |