Ferriolense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
SNF
68%
19%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MNC
0 - 1
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
STA
56%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 2
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
BNS
30%
27%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PBL
0 - 1
MER
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
CLL
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FLN
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MER
0 - 2
IBI
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |