Fernwald vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
BAU
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
5 - 2
WAL
24%
19%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 3
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
RWW
11%
16%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EDD
1 - 1
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VIK
0 - 0
FVB
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
2 - 0
FCE
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
0 - 1
SVZ
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 1
FVB
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
VFB
1 - 4
FVB
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |